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Media

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January 17th, 2025

BTC Optimism Builds Ahead of Trump Inauguration

  • Continuation of strong ETF inflows.
  • Bitcoin surges past $101,500.
  • Trump's inauguration may be overpriced into Bitcoin.
  • Both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw significant inflows yesterday, with BTC attracting $626M and Ethereum $166M. This marks a strong return of institutional support, reversing the recent streak of outflows. These inflows are expected to sustain upward price momentum as long as optimism persists.

    Fueled by positive inflation data, declining unemployment, and widespread enthusiasm surrounding Donald Trump’s inauguration on Jan 20, Bitcoin climbed above $101,500. Technical indicators point toward further growth potential, but much will hinge on the actions announced by the new administration in the coming week.

    Bitcoin’s recent all-time high came after a 60% rally following the presidential election. While the promises made during Trump's Nashville campaign justify much of this growth, investor expectations may be too optimistic. Delays in implementing proposed measures could trigger a “sell the news” reaction, potentially disrupting Bitcoin’s current positive momentum.

    The macroeconomic backdrop remains supportive, with unemployment trending downward, inflation showing signs of easing, and the market riding a wave of enthusiasm tied to Trump’s inauguration. We maintain a bullish outlook for Q1, though a correction could materialize in the coming week if a detailed action plan is not outlined promptly by the new administration.

    To mitigate risks and maximize long-term returns, we recommend maintaining a medium exposure to digital assets, anticipating better entry points in the near term. We maintain an overweighting of Bitcoin over Ethereum, given its stronger recovery potential and resilience against market dips.

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