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Media

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July 14th, 2025

Rally Fired Up – How to Ride the Momentum While Managing Reversal Risk

Key Takeaways:

  • Corporate and institutional purchases continue at an aggressive pace
  • Bitcoin hits fresh ATH, powering broad market strength
  • ETF inflows hold above $1B for a second day, but reversal risks are rising

Strategy hinted at a new BTC purchase after a week-long pause, while MetaPlanet added another $96M worth of Bitcoin to its reserves. The market is clearly heating up — ICOs are selling out at record speed, and capital inflows appear unstoppable. These are the moments where serious profits can be made — but they also separate the disciplined investors from those who end up holding the bag during sharp reversals.

Volatility will offer great opportunities, but being ready to protect profits the moment momentum stalls will be key.

ETF inflows remain strong, supporting the rally:

  • BTC: $1.03B inflows — second consecutive day above $1B
  • ETH: $205M inflows — continued institutional support
  • SOL: $11M inflows — solid showing for a high-beta asset

This ongoing wave of institutional inflows confirms the strong momentum behind the rally. But history shows momentum can quickly reverse once buying pressure weakens — making risk management essential in the days ahead.

Market breaks out on renewed strength:

  • Global market cap: ↑ 4% ($3.81T)
  • Bitcoin: ↑ 4.3% ($122,761) – New ATH
  • Ethereum: ↑ 2.2% ($3,041)
  • Solana: ↑ 1.2% ($165)

Bitcoin led the weekend rally, breaking well above its previous ATH. Altcoins lagged but still delivered positive returns, confirming the logic behind our BTC overweight. With inflation expectations rising, any positive surprise from upcoming macro data could further fuel the rally.

Momentum remains strong, but we’re approaching levels where profit-taking and momentum exhaustion could emerge. We maintain an elevated exposure while monitoring for signs of inflow fatigue. We're prepared to scale back quickly if institutional activity slows.

Positioning:

• Cash: 15% – Increased to take profits and manage volatility

• BTC: 68% – Core holding; leading the current cycle

• ETH: 12% – Trimmed post-breakout; watching for relative strength

• SOL: 5% – Held for upside beta; may lag in BTC-led rallies

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