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Can You Use Prediction Market Odds to Predict Asset Prices?

Can You Use Prediction Market Odds to Predict Asset Prices?

We tested Polymarket as a trading signal. The answer is not what you'd expect.

May 8, 2026

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1 min read

Fat Stack: Where Value Accrues in a Modular Blockchain Economy

Fat Stack: Where Value Accrues in a Modular Blockchain Economy

The Fat Protocol thesis — the idea that blockchain base layers capture most of the economic value created onchain — is no longer supported by the data.

Apr 2, 2026

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1 min read

Independent analysis on digital asset markets, regulation, and emerging trends

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